The Call Stands is in beta. Bugs and rough edges are part of the deal. Send feedback via the button in the bottom left.
The Call Stands
Sign in

Model Maker

Build your own NFL spread model. Toggle the factors you believe in, set how much each one should count, and see what your model projects for every game this week — right next to the sportsbook’s line.

For entertainment only. No model here reliably beats the sportsbooks — these are the same public numbers anyone can look up, not inside information. Each factor’s normal strength is based on 2021-2024 NFL games, with the 2025 season held back to test it. Tap the i next to any factor for details.

Starter modelsUsing: Balanced

The starter models are examples of different betting styles, not settings the data picked.

Team strength
Normal
Last three games
Normal
Home field
Normal
Extra rest
Normal
Back-to-back road gamesBest guess
Normal
Looking ahead to a big gameBest guess
Normal
Letdown after a big winBest guess
Normal
Fumble luckBest guess
Normal
Where the public is bettingComing soon

My Models

Anyone can build a model here — logging in only lets you save it and come back to it later.

Backtest

See how your model would have done on every NFL game from 2021 to 2025. When your projected spread differs enough from the final line before kickoff, your model takes that side. Everything else is a pass.

Low means you bet most games. High means you only bet when you strongly disagree with the book.

Log in to save your backtest runs.

Week 9 · 2026

Your model likes 10 of 15 games this week.

Using the default 1 pt until you set your own in the Backtest section.

JAX at BALThu, Nov 5, 8:15 PM EST
Your model likes BAL +9.5
Your spread
JAX -2.6
Book’s spread
JAX -9.5
Updated Nov 3, 9:00 AM EST
Difference
6.9 pts
CIN at ATLSun, Nov 8, 9:30 AM EST
Your spread
CIN -2.3
Book’s spread
CIN -3
Updated Nov 3, 9:00 AM EST
Difference
0.7 pts

No pick. Your number is within 1 pt of the book’s.

DEN at CARSun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM EST
Your model likes CAR +3
Your spread
CAR -3.1
Book’s spread
DEN -3
Updated Nov 3, 9:00 AM EST
Difference
6.1 pts
DAL at INDSun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM EST
Your model likes IND +6
Your spread
DAL -0.3
Book’s spread
DAL -6
Updated Nov 3, 9:00 AM EST
Difference
5.7 pts
NYJ at KCSun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM EST
Your model likes NYJ +9.5
Your spread
KC -4.7
Book’s spread
KC -9.5
Updated Nov 3, 9:00 AM EST
Difference
4.8 pts
DET at MIASun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM EST
Your model likes MIA +7
Your spread
MIA -0.8
Book’s spread
DET -7
Updated Nov 3, 9:00 AM EST
Difference
7.8 pts
CLE at NOSun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM EST
Your spread
NO -2.3
Book’s spread
NO -2.5
Updated Nov 3, 9:00 AM EST
Difference
0.2 pts

No pick. Your number is within 1 pt of the book’s.

NYG at PHISun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM EST
Your spread
NYG -2.9
Book’s spread
NYG -3.5
Updated Nov 3, 9:00 AM EST
Difference
0.6 pts

No pick. Your number is within 1 pt of the book’s.

LA at WASSun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM EST
Your model likes WAS +5.5
Your spread
LA -3.6
Book’s spread
LA -5.5
Updated Nov 3, 9:00 AM EST
Difference
1.9 pts
HOU at LACSun, Nov 8, 4:05 PM EST
Your spread
HOU -4.7
Book’s spread
HOU -4.5
Updated Nov 3, 9:00 AM EST
Difference
0.2 pts

No pick. Your number is within 1 pt of the book’s.

LV at SFSun, Nov 8, 4:05 PM EST
Your spread
SF -10.2
Book’s spread
SF -10
Updated Nov 3, 9:00 AM EST
Difference
0.2 pts

No pick. Your number is within 1 pt of the book’s.

GB at NESun, Nov 8, 4:25 PM EST
Your model likes GB +3
Your spread
NE -0.9
Book’s spread
NE -3
Updated Nov 3, 9:00 AM EST
Difference
2.1 pts
ARI at SEASun, Nov 8, 4:25 PM EST
Your model likes ARI +11.5
Your spread
SEA -5.9
Book’s spread
SEA -11.5
Updated Nov 3, 9:00 AM EST
Difference
5.6 pts
TB at CHISun, Nov 8, 8:20 PM EST
Your model likes TB +6
Your spread
CHI -3.8
Book’s spread
CHI -6
Updated Nov 3, 9:00 AM EST
Difference
2.2 pts
BUF at MINMon, Nov 9, 8:15 PM EST
Your model likes MIN +3.5
Your spread
MIN -0.8
Book’s spread
BUF -3.5
Updated Nov 3, 9:00 AM EST
Difference
4.3 pts